[JLOGIC]

bluecalm, on 2012-September-22, 10:16, said:

All hands where one side overcalled 1H and the other doubled with 4-5-x-y shape after 1m opening from 100k hand vugraph database (many minor events purged):
https://dl.dropbox.c...85/ELCpart0.lin
(open room always dbls)

Grand total of one swing (6 imps) was won because of spades being found after dbl and not being found after 1H overcall. This is not completely fair because maybe more such swings were missed on hands where both sides overcalled 1H (not included here) but still 1/46 doesn't look very convincing.

Enjoy

Many of these are one person doubling a strong club for the majors FWIW

[bluecalm]

Yeah, maybe it would be more useful to pull hands where 1H was overcalled while there were 8 spades on the line to see if there are potential gain there and how often that happens. I will try that when I am back home.