Okay, its a club game against the best opps in the field who just jumped all over your side's error on the first board.....they play aggressive weak 2 bids, so do you balance with this and would the vulnerability affect your decision?
Balancing act? Look out for those 'gators!
#1
Posted 2007-October-25, 13:36
Okay, its a club game against the best opps in the field who just jumped all over your side's error on the first board.....they play aggressive weak 2 bids, so do you balance with this and would the vulnerability affect your decision?
#2
Posted 2007-October-25, 14:14
Harald
#3 Guest_Jlall_*
Posted 2007-October-25, 14:48
1) A bad hand.
2) A hand with length in hearts.
It's true that the right very maximum hands that qualify for 2 enable us to make a game, but we will get too high too often. Even if we make say, 2S, partner will often bid 3S. There is no shame in defending when we both have length in hearts, or when we are outgunned.
I think bidding in this spot is just undisciplined, and sometimes works but is a loser long run. I still see people do it all the time though, part of the "must balance at MP" syndrome.
#4
Posted 2007-October-25, 15:08
Sean
#5
Posted 2007-October-25, 15:23
#6
Posted 2007-October-25, 15:42
I don't feel that bad if partner bids 3♦, to bid the highest suit above 2♥ he will have at least 5 most of the time. I don't feel great either, but it's not like automatic disaster.
#7
Posted 2007-October-25, 16:18
Because of the strength of the ♠ suit, I don't expect to be doubled in 2, and partner has a 3♥ cue available to keep from overbidding with near-opening values. If they compete, I have gotten partner off to a good lead.
In sum, I should be OK with most of the developments after a 2♠ balance.
#8
Posted 2007-October-25, 17:51
I will pass 2♥ on these grounds.
#9
Posted 2007-October-25, 18:51
#10
Posted 2007-October-25, 19:20
The_Hog, on Oct 25 2007, 07:51 PM, said:
This strong reaction makes me wonder: What range of shape and size do you expect from a 2♠ balance? Why do you judge that the result of the balance will be more frequently bad than good?
I'm not disputing, just trying to understand.
#11
Posted 2007-October-25, 19:58
bhall, on Oct 25 2007, 08:20 PM, said:
The_Hog, on Oct 25 2007, 07:51 PM, said:
This strong reaction makes me wonder: What range of shape and size do you expect from a 2♠ balance? Why do you judge that the result of the balance will be more frequently bad than good?
I'm not disputing, just trying to understand.
IMO you not only underestimate the odds of a penalty (either doubled or otherwise, and in either 2 or 3 after being raised), but severely underestimate it. I mean if you double partner will bid a four card spade suit anyway, so all you gain is 4-3 fits when nothing else would have been better. On such a balanced hand that seems like a target that is both small and a bit random to shoot for.
#12
Posted 2007-October-25, 20:48
I play that as forcing, though.
-P.J. Painter.
#13
Posted 2007-October-25, 22:22
Further, pd will raise with some points and 3 card support. Do you want to play 3S in a 4-3 fit with pd not having a great hand? As Josh says, you are looking for a blackeye to nothing by bidding here.
#14
Posted 2007-October-26, 00:30
It appears from your comments that you expect partner to raise the balance on something like xxx Qxx Kxxx Axx, which I would not. Not even exchanging the ♥Q for the ♠Q. It's true, when he passes with the first holding I will often go down 2 at 2♠, but I really don't expect to be doubled. And 2♥ could easily make.
When partner has 12-13 with ♥ stops, I will expect a 2N response; when he has 12-13 in support, I expect a cue. With 4 ♠ and 10-11, I expect he would raise to 3, and that we would make about half the time. Maybe that's optimistic.
I guess what I am saying is that 2♥ passed out is a slightly negative position, while a 2♠ balance may exchange a minus for a smaller minus, or turn a minus into a plus, often enough to make it worthwhile. Provided partner treads warily.
Surely, he will not value ♥Qxx or Qx. Or fail to bid notrump with ♥KQx.
#15
Posted 2007-October-26, 02:18
#16
Posted 2007-October-26, 02:24
#17
Posted 2007-October-26, 03:28
It appears from your comments that you expect partner to raise the balance on something like xxx Qxx Kxxx Axx"
This would be a clear cut raise for me, and I suspect most other posters - an Ace, a King and 3 card support and no raise????
#18
Posted 2007-October-26, 03:41
Pard is already counting on me having 9-10 hcp when he balances. I don't seem to have more than the expectancy, so pass.
#19
Posted 2007-October-26, 03:49
#20
Posted 2007-October-26, 05:48
But I don not understand any strong words against double or 2 Spade. I believe that these bids are worse, but this is a borderline hand.
For the guys who think 2 Spade is nuts and double: Hopefully your pd never bids 3 Diamond with a 3343 hand or with a 3244 with better diamonds. (Okay, in the second case you had discussed that 2 NT here is surely scrambling, who needs Lebensohl or even a natural 2 NT bid?) (And I agree that it should be scrambling, but this is more common in the BBF then in the real world.)
There are reasons for 2 Spade. I don´t find them convincing enough to choose the bid, but your reasoning isn´t flawless either.
Roland
Sanity Check: Failure (Fluffy)
More system is not the answer...

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