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Balancing act? Look out for those 'gators!

#1 User is offline   Al_U_Card 

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Posted 2007-October-25, 13:36

Scoring: MP

2- p - p - ???


Okay, its a club game against the best opps in the field who just jumped all over your side's error on the first board.....they play aggressive weak 2 bids, so do you balance with this and would the vulnerability affect your decision?
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#2 User is offline   skjaeran 

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Posted 2007-October-25, 14:14

It could be terribly wrong (any action/non-action could), but I'm a bidder here: Double.
Kind regards,
Harald
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#3 Guest_Jlall_*

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Posted 2007-October-25, 14:48

I would pass at any vul and don't see the desire to bid. No bid describes our hand becuase we are supposed to pass with a yarb and 3 small hearts. Partner didn't bid over 2H so he either has:

1) A bad hand.
2) A hand with length in hearts.

It's true that the right very maximum hands that qualify for 2 enable us to make a game, but we will get too high too often. Even if we make say, 2S, partner will often bid 3S. There is no shame in defending when we both have length in hearts, or when we are outgunned.

I think bidding in this spot is just undisciplined, and sometimes works but is a loser long run. I still see people do it all the time though, part of the "must balance at MP" syndrome.
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#4 User is offline   jikl 

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Posted 2007-October-25, 15:08

I pass, there is too little upside here. And how do the doublers feel when partner bids 3?

Sean
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#5 User is offline   ArtK78 

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Posted 2007-October-25, 15:23

Since I want to bid and I can't double with a doubleton diamond, I just balance with 2.
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#6 User is offline   jdonn 

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Posted 2007-October-25, 15:42

I would pass in a flash if vul, and also pass if w/r. I guess I would balance at mps (with a double!!!) w/w but it's an unsound action that I'm only taking because of the situation.

I don't feel that bad if partner bids 3, to bid the highest suit above 2 he will have at least 5 most of the time. I don't feel great either, but it's not like automatic disaster.
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#7 User is offline   bhall 

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Posted 2007-October-25, 16:18

I think Justin's point is good, but I'm with those who try 2 in balancing seat. I don't expect partner to play me for the world's fair, and I do expect that the high cards are roughly split between the two sides.

Because of the strength of the suit, I don't expect to be doubled in 2, and partner has a 3 cue available to keep from overbidding with near-opening values. If they compete, I have gotten partner off to a good lead.

In sum, I should be OK with most of the developments after a 2 balance.
just plain Bill
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#8 User is offline   pclayton 

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Posted 2007-October-25, 17:51

If I'm vul and I open 2 and it continues pass - pass and RHO goes into the tank, what are you rooting for? Obviously pard doesn't have a big hand, and doesn't have a fit. You are hoping RHO takes a call and guesses wrong.

I will pass 2 on these grounds.
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#9 User is offline   the hog 

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Posted 2007-October-25, 18:51

Agree with Phil. Definitely not 2S!! I can't believe I am reading this from anyone.
"The King of Hearts a broadsword bears, the Queen of Hearts a rose." W. H. Auden.
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#10 User is offline   bhall 

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Posted 2007-October-25, 19:20

The_Hog, on Oct 25 2007, 07:51 PM, said:

Agree with Phil. Definitely not 2S!! I can't believe I am reading this from anyone.

This strong reaction makes me wonder: What range of shape and size do you expect from a 2 balance? Why do you judge that the result of the balance will be more frequently bad than good?

I'm not disputing, just trying to understand.
just plain Bill
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#11 User is offline   jdonn 

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Posted 2007-October-25, 19:58

bhall, on Oct 25 2007, 08:20 PM, said:

The_Hog, on Oct 25 2007, 07:51 PM, said:

Agree with Phil. Definitely not 2S!! I can't believe I am reading this from anyone.

This strong reaction makes me wonder: What range of shape and size do you expect from a 2 balance? Why do you judge that the result of the balance will be more frequently bad than good?

I'm not disputing, just trying to understand.

IMO you not only underestimate the odds of a penalty (either doubled or otherwise, and in either 2 or 3 after being raised), but severely underestimate it. I mean if you double partner will bid a four card spade suit anyway, so all you gain is 4-3 fits when nothing else would have been better. On such a balanced hand that seems like a target that is both small and a bit random to shoot for.
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#12 User is offline   kenrexford 

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Posted 2007-October-25, 20:48

Pass.

I play that as forcing, though.
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#13 User is offline   the hog 

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Posted 2007-October-25, 22:22

There are a couple of other considerations as well. As I have 3 H and pd has said nothing, it is not unreasonable to suppose that he has a few H cards. Any H hons he has are likely to get ruffed out.
Further, pd will raise with some points and 3 card support. Do you want to play 3S in a 4-3 fit with pd not having a great hand? As Josh says, you are looking for a blackeye to nothing by bidding here.
"The King of Hearts a broadsword bears, the Queen of Hearts a rose." W. H. Auden.
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#14 User is offline   bhall 

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Posted 2007-October-26, 00:30

Thanks for your answers.

It appears from your comments that you expect partner to raise the balance on something like xxx Qxx Kxxx Axx, which I would not. Not even exchanging the Q for the Q. It's true, when he passes with the first holding I will often go down 2 at 2, but I really don't expect to be doubled. And 2 could easily make.

When partner has 12-13 with stops, I will expect a 2N response; when he has 12-13 in support, I expect a cue. With 4 and 10-11, I expect he would raise to 3, and that we would make about half the time. Maybe that's optimistic.

I guess what I am saying is that 2 passed out is a slightly negative position, while a 2 balance may exchange a minus for a smaller minus, or turn a minus into a plus, often enough to make it worthwhile. Provided partner treads warily.

Surely, he will not value Qxx or Qx. Or fail to bid notrump with KQx.
just plain Bill
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#15 User is offline   whereagles 

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Posted 2007-October-26, 02:18

You can afford to pass at imps. At matchpoints it's less clear, which is why I'd dbl.
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#16 User is offline   helene_t 

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Posted 2007-October-26, 02:24

Matchpoint bidding in a club game is generally a gamble, I think. But I would not bid this hand at any vul. At w/w it would be close, though.
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#17 User is offline   the hog 

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Posted 2007-October-26, 03:28

"Thanks for your answers.

It appears from your comments that you expect partner to raise the balance on something like xxx Qxx Kxxx Axx"

This would be a clear cut raise for me, and I suspect most other posters - an Ace, a King and 3 card support and no raise????
"The King of Hearts a broadsword bears, the Queen of Hearts a rose." W. H. Auden.
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#18 User is offline   whereagles 

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Posted 2007-October-26, 03:41

It wouldn't be a raise to me, I must say.

Pard is already counting on me having 9-10 hcp when he balances. I don't seem to have more than the expectancy, so pass.
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#19 User is offline   Fluffy 

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Posted 2007-October-26, 03:49

My soound overcall system leaves me stuck with a double here, game is still possible our side.
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#20 User is offline   Codo 

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Posted 2007-October-26, 05:48

I am in the pass camp and find pass at imps clear cut and at mp superior.
But I don not understand any strong words against double or 2 Spade. I believe that these bids are worse, but this is a borderline hand.
For the guys who think 2 Spade is nuts and double: Hopefully your pd never bids 3 Diamond with a 3343 hand or with a 3244 with better diamonds. (Okay, in the second case you had discussed that 2 NT here is surely scrambling, who needs Lebensohl or even a natural 2 NT bid?) (And I agree that it should be scrambling, but this is more common in the BBF then in the real world.)
There are reasons for 2 Spade. I don´t find them convincing enough to choose the bid, but your reasoning isn´t flawless either.
Kind Regards

Roland


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