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Is this an obvious lead?

#1 User is offline   jschafer 

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Posted 2011-March-13, 08:18

2NT-AP

♠KJ84
♥KT65
♦Q87
♣T8

Do you consider the lead obvious? If so what is it?
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#2 User is offline   OleBerg 

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Posted 2011-March-13, 09:35

All suits stinks, so nothing is obvious.

I'll lead a spade. Should give me a fair chance of not being endplayed the next time I'm on lead.

I consider it marginally better than picking a random suit.
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We should always assume 2/1 unless otherwise stated, because:

- If the original poster didn't bother to state his system, that means that he thinks it's obvious what he's playing. The only people who think this are 2/1 players.

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#3 User is offline   whereagles 

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Posted 2011-March-13, 10:19

Spade too. Wins when pard has an honor and can set 4 tricks for our side with a bit of luck.
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#4 User is offline   FrancesHinden 

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Posted 2011-March-13, 10:57

No it's a long way short of obvious.

I'd lead a heart. I'm experimenting with the algorithm "when all other things are equal lead your weaker 4-card suit from two broken holdings" and so far it's working quite well.
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#5 User is offline   dake50 

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Posted 2011-March-13, 11:43

"Do you consider the lead obvious? Yes.
"If so what is it?" The obvious.
Slightly prefer a heart.
The only pin-my-hat on clue is no major xfer, no Stayman.
LEAD a MAJOR.
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#6 User is offline   bluecalm 

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Posted 2011-March-13, 12:06

I have no clue at all and no simulator available for a week to come :(
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#7 User is offline   TMorris 

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Posted 2011-March-13, 12:43

10 clubs for me following my rule of leading from rubbish into a (very) strong NT hand
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#8 User is offline   MrAce 

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Posted 2011-March-13, 22:57

It is auto ♣T for me. No need to create tricks to 2NT declarers (as well as 4NT declarers)
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#9 User is offline   nigel_k 

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Posted 2011-March-13, 23:44

View PostMrAce, on 2011-March-13, 22:57, said:

It is auto ♣T for me. No need to create tricks to 2NT declarers (as well as 4NT declarers)

Ditto for me.
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#10 User is offline   P_Marlowe 

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Posted 2011-March-14, 03:58

Hi,

The lead is certainly not obvious.

I would go with a major suit, and I would say I take a spade,
but clubs is also ok.

You are bound to give declarer a trick, so I would pick the
suit, that offers the best prospect of developing tricks for our
side, my strongest suit is spade.

The only suit, that I would not lead is diamonds, and I think
spades is better than hearts.

With kind regards
Marlowe
With kind regards
Uwe Gebhardt (P_Marlowe)
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#11 User is offline   Hanoi5 

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Posted 2011-March-14, 04:44

♣10 was what I thought of first. Against 2NT (or a NT contract where one of the hands is VERY strong and the other not so much or one of them invited and the other didn`t accept, and sometimes when they did) it might be better to lead passively so that declarer has to lead from his hand/holdings and not us towards his.

But it's not an obvious lead.

View Postwyman, on 2012-May-04, 09:48, said:

Also, he rates to not have a heart void when he leads the ♥3.


View Postrbforster, on 2012-May-20, 21:04, said:

Besides playing for fun, most people also like to play bridge to win


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#12 User is offline   wyman 

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Posted 2011-March-14, 05:56

I would lead a small ♥, though anything could be right.
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#13 User is offline   Poky 

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Posted 2011-March-14, 06:25

Spade if IMP-s, club if MP-s.
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#14 User is offline   bluecalm 

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Posted 2011-March-14, 06:51

Quote

Spade if IMP-s, club if MP-s.


I don't believe there are many (if any) situations where the first lead should be different at IMP's and MP's. Those usually include leading from 6+carders hoping for not too likely layouts providing a set but which usually gives up a trick.
Here we don't have such situation. Blowing up spade trick is likely to cost as much at IMPs as it is at MP's imo.
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#15 User is offline   Free 

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Posted 2011-March-14, 08:05

♥ is the most logical choice for me, but it's not obvious at all.
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#16 User is offline   peachy 

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Posted 2011-March-14, 14:17

Club, in an effort to avoid giving declarer anything. The choice is by no means clear and can backfire in several ways, but so can any other lead since we don't have a clue in which suit partner has help.
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#17 User is offline   Phil 

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Posted 2011-March-14, 15:59

Agree with Frances and have had the same positive experience about leading from the weaker of two four card suits.

Its a small sample size for me so I'm not going to claim my evidence is anything more than anecdotal.
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#18 User is offline   akhare 

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Posted 2011-March-14, 17:41

T♣ for me...maybe declarer rattles off AKQJX, AKQ of ♦, when a major suit lead would have set, but c'est-la-vie...
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#19 User is offline   655321 

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Posted 2011-March-14, 17:56

I would lead a heart.

I would be happy to make a passive lead against a 2NT-all-pass auction, from a 4 small suit for example. The doubleton ten doesn't seem that safe to me though, so if I can't make a safe lead I would prefer to try to set up some tricks.
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#20 User is offline   the hog 

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Posted 2011-March-14, 17:59

Small Heart for me.
"The King of Hearts a broadsword bears, the Queen of Hearts a rose." W. H. Auden.
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