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Just a lead.

Poll: Just a lead. (20 member(s) have cast votes)

What's your lead?

  1. Spade Ace (2 votes [10.00%] - View)

    Percentage of vote: 10.00%

  2. Spade Queen (3 votes [15.00%] - View)

    Percentage of vote: 15.00%

  3. Small spade (0 votes [0.00%])

    Percentage of vote: 0.00%

  4. Heart (1 votes [5.00%] - View)

    Percentage of vote: 5.00%

  5. Diamond Ace (1 votes [5.00%] - View)

    Percentage of vote: 5.00%

  6. Low diamond (3 votes [15.00%] - View)

    Percentage of vote: 15.00%

  7. Club (10 votes [50.00%] - View)

    Percentage of vote: 50.00%

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#1 User is offline   OleBerg 

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Posted 2011-January-09, 15:21



1NT was 12-14, no 4-card spade.
2 was sign-off (checkback in use).

Comments are welcome.

Edit: IMP's
_____________________________________

Do not underestimate the power of the dark side. Or the ninth trumph.

Best Regards Ole Berg

_____________________________________

We should always assume 2/1 unless otherwise stated, because:

- If the original poster didn't bother to state his system, that means that he thinks it's obvious what he's playing. The only people who think this are 2/1 players.


Gnasher
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#2 User is offline   pooltuna 

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Posted 2011-January-09, 15:58

A is at the top of the list so it must be right :) Of course actually this looks like a ruff declarer down type of defense and you need some high cards to do it plus declarer is really low odds to hold the K so maybe partner holds it.
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#3 User is offline   nigel_k 

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Posted 2011-January-09, 16:41

Q.

Maybe they have Kxx opposite 10xx. I have been waiting a while for one of these on opening lead.
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#4 User is offline   MrAce 

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Posted 2011-January-09, 17:50

Low
"Genius has its own limitations, however stupidity has no such boundaries!"
"It's only when a mosquito lands on your testicles that you realize there is always a way to solve problems without using violence!"

"Well to be perfectly honest, in my humble opinion, of course without offending anyone who thinks differently from my point of view, but also by looking into this matter in a different perspective and without being condemning of one's view's and by trying to make it objectified, and by considering each and every one's valid opinion, I honestly believe that I completely forgot what I was going to say."





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#5 User is offline   l milne 

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Posted 2011-January-09, 18:29

Q, and it's only slightly heroic.
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#6 User is offline   gnasher 

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Posted 2011-January-09, 19:03

Are we all playing the same game?
... that would still not be conclusive proof, before someone wants to explain that to me as well as if I was a 5 year-old. - gwnn
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#7 User is offline   ceeb 

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Posted 2011-January-09, 19:41

View PostOleBerg, on 2011-January-09, 15:21, said:



1NT was 12-14, no 4-card spade.
2 was sign-off (checkback in use).

Comments are welcome.
Tricky. Your sig includes the nice bit of snide about 2/1 from gnasher, forestalling my temptation to assume MP since not stated.

At IMPs I'd go for the throat with a low diamond. Assuming length < 3 in dummy (else little hope to defeat) the underlead has reasonable compensatory prospects.

At MP, .
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#8 User is offline   JLOGIC 

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Posted 2011-January-09, 21:40

I would lead the 9 of clubs...everything else seems pretty absurd actually!

What is the point of a low diamond, we're trying to tap them? I don't even get it. Maybe I'll get a club ruff and set them, if not I probably didn't blow a trick.
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#9 User is offline   JLOGIC 

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Posted 2011-January-09, 21:41

This seems even worse than a normal Axxx underlead because it is extremely unlikely we'll be able to give partner a ruff in the suit if we hit gold (Qx and K in dummy or Kx or whatever).
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#10 User is offline   mike777 

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Posted 2011-January-09, 22:06

clb no conviction..

I will read the posts now
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#11 User is offline   rduran1216 

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Posted 2011-January-10, 00:03

I think A of spades rates best in this auction.
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#12 User is offline   Fluffy 

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Posted 2011-January-10, 02:23

low diamond or 9 are the options to me. I never led from AQx or AQxx dunno how it works.
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#13 User is offline   whereagles 

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Posted 2011-January-10, 04:40

I'm not going to lead/underlead an ace into the stronger hand, nor leading a club into his main suit.

That leaves out a trump, which doesn't look so bad anyway.
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#14 User is offline   JLOGIC 

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Posted 2011-January-10, 05:29

View Postwhereagles, on 2011-January-10, 04:40, said:

I'm not going to lead/underlead an ace into the stronger hand, nor leading a club into his main suit.



It's not into, it's through. That is a big difference.

A trump lead seems like it gives up tempo and the possibility of getting a ruff or a tap, etc etc. I like leading trumps more than most but this seems like the wrong time for it.
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#15 User is offline   whereagles 

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Posted 2011-January-10, 05:40

Oh, you're right. My autopilot made me think it was a transfer auction, which is not. That makes a club more attractive then. I think I would still favor a trump, but on a good day I'd definitely try a club.
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#16 User is offline   OleBerg 

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Posted 2011-January-10, 06:01

View PostFluffy, on 2011-January-10, 02:23, said:

I never led from AQx or AQxx dunno how it works.


Free online lesson:

Say the opponents bid to 6 and you hold AQx.

Take the Ace. If the King doesn't appear in dummy, switch. If it does, continue diamonds. Often declarer will play for the drop.
_____________________________________

Do not underestimate the power of the dark side. Or the ninth trumph.

Best Regards Ole Berg

_____________________________________

We should always assume 2/1 unless otherwise stated, because:

- If the original poster didn't bother to state his system, that means that he thinks it's obvious what he's playing. The only people who think this are 2/1 players.


Gnasher
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#17 User is offline   mfa1010 

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Posted 2011-January-10, 06:47

View PostJLOGIC, on 2011-January-09, 21:40, said:

I would lead the 9 of clubs...everything else seems pretty absurd actually!

What is the point of a low diamond, we're trying to tap them? I don't even get it. Maybe I'll get a club ruff and set them, if not I probably didn't blow a trick.

With lowish heart spots the value of leading a doubleton club is greatly diminished. And there is the risk of declarer running away with trumps and clubs.
Michael Askgaard
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#18 User is offline   MrAce 

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Posted 2011-January-11, 03:35

View PostJLOGIC, on 2011-January-09, 21:40, said:

. Maybe I'll get a club ruff and set them, if not I probably didn't blow a trick.


Are you sure ? Opener will be 3235 or 3334 most of the time due to raising with 3 cards tradition which i am not a big fan of it btw. And responder hands vary. He has at least 3 if not 4 imo. Pd could make a 2 balance with 5 or even with 4 sometimes. Low can blow a trick, but same goes for lead. In fact, if lead is wrong, it will probably blow more than 1 trick for defense i am afraid.

The more i think, the more i like my chances with low actually. Even if everything goes bad with this lead, as Marshall Miles would say, it is still a very good investment in a long match :D Being unpredictable always pay in bigger hands when you do something standart, especially when u make your unpredictable moves in situations like that where nothing else is more clear and the contract is just 2 ;)
"Genius has its own limitations, however stupidity has no such boundaries!"
"It's only when a mosquito lands on your testicles that you realize there is always a way to solve problems without using violence!"

"Well to be perfectly honest, in my humble opinion, of course without offending anyone who thinks differently from my point of view, but also by looking into this matter in a different perspective and without being condemning of one's view's and by trying to make it objectified, and by considering each and every one's valid opinion, I honestly believe that I completely forgot what I was going to say."





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#19 User is offline   gnasher 

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Posted 2011-January-11, 04:24

I think the most likely shapes around the table are 3235-4234-3532 and 3235-3244-4522. With more shape partner might have acted at some point.

Those distributions don't exactly scream for an active lead. It might be possible to set up dummy's clubs with a single ruff, but it's more likely that partner has them under control.

Originally I though a club was right, but it's unappealing to lead what's probably dummy's five-card suit. I'd lead a heart.
... that would still not be conclusive proof, before someone wants to explain that to me as well as if I was a 5 year-old. - gwnn
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#20 User is offline   MrAce 

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Posted 2011-January-11, 04:35

View Postgnasher, on 2011-January-11, 04:24, said:

Originally I though a club was right, but it's unappealing to lead what's probably dummy's five-card suit. I'd lead a heart.


Yup, lead is also my other choice. As Ceeb mentioned scoring also matters here i guess.
"Genius has its own limitations, however stupidity has no such boundaries!"
"It's only when a mosquito lands on your testicles that you realize there is always a way to solve problems without using violence!"

"Well to be perfectly honest, in my humble opinion, of course without offending anyone who thinks differently from my point of view, but also by looking into this matter in a different perspective and without being condemning of one's view's and by trying to make it objectified, and by considering each and every one's valid opinion, I honestly believe that I completely forgot what I was going to say."





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