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Looks easy

#1 User is offline   gnasher 

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Posted 2014-May-10, 16:40



Lead: 8 (English style 2nd/4th, so could be J98, 98x, 98xx, 8x or 8.)
... that would still not be conclusive proof, before someone wants to explain that to me as well as if I was a 5 year-old. - gwnn
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#2 User is offline   rhm 

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Posted 2014-May-10, 17:51

T1:A
T2:A
T3:ruff high
T4:K
T5: ruff high. If diamonds are established claim 13 tricks,
If not:
T7: A
T8: ruff
T9: Q and hope that either

a) somebody ruffs or
b) J comes down, in which case you continue with the 10

If neither a) or b)

T10: ruff and hope trumps to be 3-2

This wins almost always if diamond can be established with 2 ruffs (a bit better than 50%). Even if hearts are 5-1 you loose only if somebody has a singleton in both hearts and clubs.
It rarely wins if diamonds are worse than 4-2.
If diamonds are 4-2 and the king is in the long hand you need trumps 3-2 or some luck in the heart department. (hearts 3-3 or J dropping or that an opponent mistakenly ruffs the Q)
If hearts are 5-1 (but trumps 3-2) you need that the heart ruff is taken by the hand with three trumps, which is quite likely, since West with 6-1-4-2 might have bid at some stage,
Playing on cross ruff lines is clearly worse since you need hearts 3-3. In this case the above line almost always wins too (except diamonds 5-1).
Taking an immediate diamond finesse is an interesting alternative, but if it loses and a spade comes back, you are in worse shape.

Rainer Herrmann
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