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Likely you would have bid this more slowly, but you don't have solid agreements about the meaning of 2♦/2♥ in this partnership so you decide to blast. Note that the contract is normal in any case. LHO leads the ♥T (standard leads). What is your plan? IMP teams if it matters.
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The Clubs are Blocked Play problem
#1
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Posted 2012-October-14, 00:58
Likely you would have bid this more slowly, but you don't have solid agreements about the meaning of 2♦/2♥ in this partnership so you decide to blast. Note that the contract is normal in any case. LHO leads the ♥T (standard leads). What is your plan? IMP teams if it matters.
Adam W. Meyerson
a.k.a. Appeal Without Merit
a.k.a. Appeal Without Merit
#2
- Limit bidder
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Posted 2012-October-14, 11:51
It would be fun to give West's hand as a defensive problem looking at
AQx
Q109x
Qx
Jxxx
AQx
Q109x
Qx
Jxxx
#3
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Posted 2012-October-14, 21:43
36% of the time ♣ will break 3-3 and the contract will make.
48% of the time ♣ will break 4-2 and 33% of the time the club jack will be in possession of the person with 2 clubs, giving me a 16% chance there.
That gives me a 52% chance of making the contract. Not the most glamorous odds, but still nothing to scoff at.
48% of the time ♣ will break 4-2 and 33% of the time the club jack will be in possession of the person with 2 clubs, giving me a 16% chance there.
That gives me a 52% chance of making the contract. Not the most glamorous odds, but still nothing to scoff at.
#4
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Posted 2012-October-15, 05:26
Cover the heart and win East's honour with the ace. Unblock the club and play a low spade.
The defence will usually win and play a heart. There are various possibilities, but say East wins the spade cheaply and returns the ♥2 and West wins and switches to a diamond (likely). Rise with the ace and cash clubs. If they don't come in, you still have chances in spades. Throw two low red cards and lead a spade up, hoping for Axx onside. The defence now have 5 tricks, but no way to reach them. And you have 3+1+2+3 for 9 tricks (if East is 3262, he may jettison the spade ace on the third club, but more likely he is 3244).
They can counter by switching to diamonds without cashing a heart, but you have to give them a chance to err.
The defence will usually win and play a heart. There are various possibilities, but say East wins the spade cheaply and returns the ♥2 and West wins and switches to a diamond (likely). Rise with the ace and cash clubs. If they don't come in, you still have chances in spades. Throw two low red cards and lead a spade up, hoping for Axx onside. The defence now have 5 tricks, but no way to reach them. And you have 3+1+2+3 for 9 tricks (if East is 3262, he may jettison the spade ace on the third club, but more likely he is 3244).
They can counter by switching to diamonds without cashing a heart, but you have to give them a chance to err.
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