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Worth the risk?

#1 User is offline   bd71 

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Posted 2012-June-07, 23:35



Matchpoints. Opponents are good.
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#2 User is offline   rmnka447 

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Posted 2012-June-08, 00:09

No, it's a pass.

You have an 8 loser hand and the opponents are advertising a probable minimum 23-24 points. 2 ♠ is unlikely to deter the opponents from bidding game if they have it. But you are almost assured of being Dbld if they let you play 2 ♠.

Even if you get really lucky and find partner with cards to cover 2 of your losers, you'll still be down at least 1 at the 2 level. That's not good enough to compete vul.
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#3 User is offline   CSGibson 

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Posted 2012-June-08, 00:17

No. Even if we could establish the spade suit, we don't have any sure entries. On the other hand, if by bidding spades we dissuade partner from making his normal diamond lead...well, that's not good. And opponents being good means that they are more likely to have good agreements on how to deal with 2 level interference, and less likely to let you get away with your indiscretion if doubling you is right. Overall, the risk/reward is not worth it.
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#4 User is offline   han 

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Posted 2012-June-08, 02:37

No, the upside is too small.
Please note: I am interested in boring, bog standard, 2/1.

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#5 User is offline   Fluffy 

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Posted 2012-June-08, 09:57

Offering 800 to the opponents when they have slam hasn't worked for me.
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#6 User is offline   quiddity 

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Posted 2012-June-08, 10:25

I think I would bid. Of course there is risk but we have shape and a suit. Partner does not need a lot to help us take a respectable number of tricks in a spade contract. And there is upside; I think if partner leads a spade instead of a club against 3NT that is very likely to be good for our side.
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#7 User is offline   neilkaz 

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Posted 2012-June-08, 14:15

View Posthan, on 2012-June-08, 02:37, said:

No, the upside is too small.

Agreed.
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#8 User is offline   ggwhiz 

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Posted 2012-June-08, 14:38

View Postneilkaz, on 2012-June-08, 14:15, said:

Agreed.


After I pass 2♣ if it goes 2♦ or 2♥ passed back to me that's the ONLY time I'm coming in. Average boards against strong opps are a good thing.
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