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♦Q98 dummy
♦104
Left hand opponent leads little diamond, what is the percentage play here in 3nt with no outside losers?
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Percentage play at trick 1 in 3nt
#2
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Posted 2011-November-06, 02:43
georgeac, on 2011-November-06, 01:19, said:
♦Q98 dummy
♦104
Left hand opponent leads little diamond, what is the percentage play here in 3nt with no outside losers?
♦104
Left hand opponent leads little diamond, what is the percentage play here in 3nt with no outside losers?
Play small, wins when LHO led from AJx.. or KJx.. or from Jx... combinations
Q wins only if he led from AKx..
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"Well to be perfectly honest, in my humble opinion, of course without offending anyone who thinks differently from my point of view, but also by looking into this matter in a different perspective and without being condemning of one's view's and by trying to make it objectified, and by considering each and every one's valid opinion, I honestly believe that I completely forgot what I was going to say."
#3
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Posted 2011-November-06, 02:56
Another way to think about it:
Playing small only requires LHO to have the J of diamonds to be correct. Playing the Q requires LHO to have the AK of diamonds to be correct.
One card is more likely than 2 cards (all other things equal).
Playing small only requires LHO to have the J of diamonds to be correct. Playing the Q requires LHO to have the AK of diamonds to be correct.
One card is more likely than 2 cards (all other things equal).
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Posted 2011-November-06, 07:59
Assuming LHO didn't open the bidding and you are looking at 27 HCP between you and the dummy...what they said. But as the "correct play" often depends on a variety of factors other than a priori odds, an auction would be helpful, even if it's just 1NT-3NT.
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#5
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Posted 2011-November-06, 09:38
Small ♦ for all the odds reasons mentioned and also because I expect the hand to be a push at imps, avg ( or VERY close) at mp's.
I consider playing the ♦Q to be a wild attempt at a swing on what should be a boring flat hand.
I consider playing the ♦Q to be a wild attempt at a swing on what should be a boring flat hand.
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