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Since we're talking and simming leads vs 3NT I think this one was interesting

#1 User is offline   Hanoi5 

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Posted 2011-June-17, 18:26

MSC, June, 1999:

{comments}


Double was negative.

No peeking.

 wyman, on 2012-May-04, 09:48, said:

Also, he rates to not have a heart void when he leads the 3.


 rbforster, on 2012-May-20, 21:04, said:

Besides playing for fun, most people also like to play bridge to win


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#2 User is offline   MrAce 

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Posted 2011-June-17, 20:39

(Assuming pd has a stopper they need to knock) I lead a , leading small seems like creating problems when pd has Qxxxx or QTxxx even when he has ATxxx declarer's Qxxx will be problem, i will lead K of .
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#3 User is offline   rduran1216 

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Posted 2011-June-17, 21:39

I've begun leading the J from this holding and think its 100% correct.
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#4 User is online   Cyberyeti 

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Posted 2011-June-18, 03:15

View Postrduran1216, on 2011-June-17, 21:39, said:

I've begun leading the J from this holding and think its 100% correct.

J only goes badly wrong vs Q/1098x in the 2 hands when compared to K, possible but not likely. It's not good in the x/Q109x scenario, but K may not be much better.

But does it ever gain where dummy is known to be short ? Only if declarer has Qxx and partner A109... (or A98xxx with stiff 10 on deck) and not sure I'd be bidding 3N with hearts bid and raised with that.

J is clear if the long hearts are known to be on your left or unknown, but with them on your right, I'm not so sure.
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#5 User is offline   MrAce 

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Posted 2011-June-18, 05:12

View PostCyberyeti, on 2011-June-18, 03:15, said:

But does it ever gain where dummy is known to be short ? Only if declarer has Qxx and partner A109... (or A98xxx with stiff 10 on deck) and not sure I'd be bidding 3N with hearts bid and raised with that.


Even with those J doesn't work better than small lead.

But i am not even sure if we shd lead a now. The more i think the more options are available. Kof works mainly when declarer has Qxxx and cant cash 9 tricks without knocking down pd's honor or something. On the other hand leading a may give him the 9th trick while a passive lead would hold him to 8 tricks. (suppose pd has A instead of stopper and declarer scored 6+2+1 with QTx )
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#6 User is offline   bluecalm 

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Posted 2011-June-18, 07:31

Too difficult for simulation because it's not clear how to define opponents hands.
I would lead Q
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#7 User is online   Cyberyeti 

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Posted 2011-June-19, 06:33

View PostMrAce, on 2011-June-18, 05:12, said:

Even with those J doesn't work better than small lead.

Actually it does in a strange way, if you lead a small one, you will win the second and third rounds. If you lead the J, declarer has the losing option of playing you for J10x when partner wins the A and returns the 9 in the x/Qxx scenario.
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