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Nige1 style sanity check

#1 User is offline   kayin801 

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Posted 2011-June-19, 14:41



Format is matchpoints, but please comment if you would lead differently at IMPs. Sorry if this is obvious.

Please rate different leads from this hand. Partnership agreement is 2/4, top of honor sequence.

Any comments on passive vs. aggressive leads against this type of auction are welcome as well.
I once yelled at my partner for discarding the 'wrong' card when he was subjected to a squeeze that I allowed by giving the wrong count with too high a card. Now he's allowed to pitch aces when the opponents have the king in the dummy. At trick 2. When he could have followed suit. And blame me.

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#2 User is offline   bluecalm 

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Posted 2011-June-19, 14:59

Even my (very crude) simulation likes Q♣ and they usually don't like active leads. As it's both standard, making my hand easier to read for partner and the most effective I choose it as my first lead :-)
My 2nd choice is 9/T ♦ and I think it's close. I wouldn't complain if partner lead it.
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#3 User is offline   kenberg 

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Posted 2011-June-19, 14:59

I have no trouble leading the Queen of clubs. If it's wrong then that's too bad, but I lead it next time also (slow learner).
Ken
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#4 User is offline   AlexJonson 

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Posted 2011-June-19, 15:08

I'd be annoyed with myself to make a passive lead (say trump) and the opps cash out when we had four top tricks.

So like everyone else it's Q clubs this time and probably next time.
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#5 User is offline   nige1 

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Posted 2011-June-19, 15:51


kayin801 wrote...
Format is matchpoints, but please comment if you would lead differently at IMPs. Sorry if this is obvious. Please rate different leads from this hand. Partnership agreement is 2/4, top of honor sequence. Any comments on passive vs. aggressive leads against this type of auction are welcome as well.

Agree with everyone...
A club lead stands out. ... ♣Q = 10, ♦T = 8, ♥Q = 6, ♥3 = 5, ♠5 = 2.
Rixi Markus recommends you lead an ace against a pre-empt.
Lacking an ace you lead as aggressively as you can

Guthrie.tech
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#6 User is offline   awm 

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Posted 2011-June-19, 18:14

I've actually had good success under-leading aces on this auction. This type of action (and other aggressive actions) tend to be highly effective when the opponents' strength is to your left (as it will be here). With opposing strength to the right (i.e. 2NT-Pass-4♥ transfer - Pass - 4♠ - All pass) I would tend to look more for passive leads.

Anyway, we don't have an ace, I'll go with the majority choice of a top club.
Adam W. Meyerson
a.k.a. Appeal Without Merit
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#7 User is offline   JLOGIC 

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Posted 2011-June-19, 20:33

club by a lot then heart by a lot then diamond by a lot
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#8 User is offline   ggwhiz 

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Posted 2011-June-19, 20:37

Top club stands out for an average score against the field if the opponents own their bids.

No reason to think they don't and no hero lead is attractive going for the (wrong?) top or bottom swing except maybe a heart trying to cash a couple of those before they dissapear.
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#9 User is offline   whereagles 

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Posted 2011-June-19, 21:34

I fail to see how everybody thinks this or that lead is obvious. The only thing that I find obvious is that you shouldn't lead a trump here. All the rest are pretty normal leads to me.
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#10 User is offline   MrAce 

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Posted 2011-June-19, 22:39

I'd lead ♣Q too.
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#11 User is offline   the hog 

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Posted 2011-June-19, 23:06

Club Q and then a D. Why did one poster above with that get a downvote? This looks normal to me - the lead, not the downvote!
"The King of Hearts a broadsword bears, the Queen of Hearts a rose." W. H. Auden.
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#12 User is offline   gwnn 

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Posted 2011-June-20, 04:43

Because some people are committed to give away more downvotes than they receive.

IMO:

♣Q=10
♦=0
♥=0
♠=-1
... and I can prove it with my usual, flawless logic.
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#13 User is offline   bluecalm 

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Posted 2011-June-20, 05:20

I am very surprised you guys prefer ♥ to [trumps] lead. Imo ♥ is the worst choice by far.
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#14 User is offline   han 

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Posted 2011-June-20, 06:34

Great point by JLOGIC that a heart lead is better than a diamond lead. I agree, stuff is most likely to go away on diamonds. I also agree with everybody that the club queen is best.

How do people feel about a small club instead of the queen?
Please note: I am interested in boring, bog standard, 2/1.

- hrothgar
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#15 User is offline   pooltuna 

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Posted 2011-June-20, 06:44

the tuba players gets on the Q♣ bandwagon :)
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#16 User is offline   bluecalm 

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Posted 2011-June-20, 10:35

Quote

Great point by JLOGIC that a heart lead is better than a diamond lead. I agree, stuff is most likely to go away on diamonds.


Why ? We have less hearts than diamonds, so they have more on avarega also we can just blow a trick leading ♥ even if nothing is going away while it's very unlikely in diamonds.
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#17 User is offline   Free 

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Posted 2011-June-23, 07:54

I'd lead a ♥ to be honest, but it's far from obvious. We don't know if LHO bid 4♠ preemptively, as a pre sacrifice, or to make. I think there's a big chance of finding some good ♥s in partner's hand and I want to create some tricks. On the other hand there's a chance that opener is quite short in ♥s in which case we won't make much tricks there ofcourse.
Leading ♣Q might look safe but it's rather dangerous imo. If we have some ♣ tricks to make, they'll probably won't go away. But leading a ♣ might give opps an opportunity to get rid of some losing ♥s (say ♣AT9x vs Kx).
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