awm, on Oct 16 2007, 05:55 PM, said:
I must admit:
(1) I don't see how the ♥J falling particularly helps us. Obviously we still have the same squeeze that we can produce on any 4-1 hearts with 3-1 spades.
(2) Even if there is something you can do (for example you could take the diamond finesse, and play for diamond hook plus long hearts with club king, instead of playing for diamond king with long hearts and club king) I wouldn't want to pay off to a semi-automatic falsecard of the ♥J from Jxx or Jx (looking at the running suit in dummy) and start taking practice finesses.
I'm interested to see what I am missing here...
Edited: I guess I should amend this, since it does matter if we have the club 8 and not the 9. In this case we can reduce to a position:
♠-
♥AKxx
♦-
♣Q
♠x
♥T
♦Q
♣8x
We play the last trump. If LHO has ♥9xx and ♣K and ♦K, he has to pitch something. If he pitches a heart then we pitch club from dummy and we're cold. If he pitches club king, we can pitch a heart from dummy, cash the ♥T in hand, and play a club to dummy's queen for the ♥AK. If he pitches diamond king, we pitch a heart from dummy. Now we cash ♦Q and he must either pitch a heart (we pitch club queen and score three hearts) or pitch a club (we pitch a heart and dummy is good). This position doesn't exist if LHO started with ♥Jxxx, because he can hold on to ♥Jxx and ♦K, which establishes dummy's ♣Q but still leaves us a trick short. Of course, on the actual hand we were given where south has ♣9, we can continue the squeeze without breaking transportation (progressive squeeze); this also works if we have ♣8 but LHO started with ♣K9x(x).
This analysis is generally correct, but ending is different. I dont know the exact hand, and the almost hero that was mentioned earlier and in BB Bulletins was probably Bart Bramley, getting in right almost till the end.
Obviously there are no problems with hearts and trumps breaking 3-2 , and if trumps are 2-2, we can handle any heart break. So, what can be done with spades 3-1 and hearts 4-1?
Most declarers cashed two round of trumps and played two rounds of
♥, hoping that hearts break or the short
♥ hand, does not have last trump, but not today.
First order of business is to guard against 4-0 trumps with RHO, so trump to the king is the proper play, Declarer correctly deduced that RHO has KJ9x in clubs, so he could envision the ending after cashing one round of hearts and running all trumps.
♠ -
♥AKx
♦x
♣Q
♠-
♥9xx
♦K ( RHO)
♣K
♠
♥10
♦AQ
♣8x
RHO had already abandoned diamond guard ( cashing D early looks like a good play, but you need that hand entry for flexibility and threats entries). So Bramley by playing a D here would make the contract by squeezing poor East again, but he played a heart and that was it. Probably people close to Bermuda Bowl will confirm that Bart B was the only one this close to making it.