mike777, on Dec 20 2006, 01:19 PM, said:
btw as a side note do you think the cold war was a real war where millions died and tens of millions..no 100M were in slavery?
I think that the metaphor of the "Cold War" was much more accurate than the "War on Terror".
The Soviet Union was an aggressively expansive highly militarized state with a rather sordid track record of using conventional miltary power to force neighboring states into its orbit. The Baltic Republics, Poland, East Germany, portions of the Balkans, Hungary, and Czechoslovakia were all seized by force. Popular revolutions in Hungary and Czechoslovakia were both supressed with military force. I believe that the US was right to follow a policy of containment in Western Europe and Turkey, including the formation of NATO, a sustained troop presence in West Germany, and extending the US nuclear umbrella over Western Europe.
However, I think that the United States made a grave mistake when it extended this metaphore to encompass a series of wars of national liberation that sweep the world starting in the late fourties. Conflicts like the civil war in China, the Vietnam War, and the revolutionary struggles in Africa and South America weren't a fight between communism and capitalism as political ideologies. These were simple power struggles. The US and the Soviet Union both projected their own ideologies onto a series of civil wars. Various political leaders quickly learned that they could attract aid from one sponsor or another by aping the right set of words or chosing the right color scheme on their flag, maybe even incorporating a few stars if they were really desperate. I'm not disputing that the internal conflicts weren't real. I'm not disputing that lots of people died. However, these fights would have taken place in much the same form with or without the "Cold War".
Last but not least, the Cold War wasn't won through pitched battles. Simply put, Communism doesn't appear to be a particularly practical ideology. Marxist ideology is full of discussions about the "internal contradictions of the polticial system" and the "State withering away". Looks like they had things half right... Given enough time, Communists states seem to collapse in on themselves.
The amount of time required seems to vary dramatically. North Korea and Cuba are still kicking arround.
There is no guaruntee that what emerges in the aftermath is going to be much better than what came before. Many of the Eastern European states seem well on their way to establishing functioning democracies. China seems to be moving towards a quite ugly form of state run capitalism while Russia is collapsing into outright kleptocracy.
However, by and large things are getting better. Its been 30 years since the US "lost" the Vietnam war. Today, Vietnam is politically and economically unifed and developing at a fairly rapid pace. I suspect that this has relatively little to do with whether the North or the South won the civil war and a whole lot to do with the fact that the US and the Soviets have stopped fighting a proxy war on Vietnamese soil.