Huibertus, on 2020-July-05, 05:19, said:
In order to almost be certain it is not reasonable 4♥ vulnerable, you need an opening bid for west on a hand like this;
♠ 7 5 3, ♥ Q J 7 5, ♦ A 9 7 5 3, ♣ 8
Do you? That would be pretty effective here indeed.
Anyone can make up hands to fit what they want to do. Bridge is a game of probabilities, and the odds are that partner does NOT have a magic layout.
I am not a fan of double dummy simulations in most situations. We don’t (at least I don’t) play double dummy but even more importantly such simulations are heavily dependent upon the constraints. However, this sort of situation likely does lend itself to a simulation.
You’d have to design the constraints to exclude hands where partner would have bid, and for what rho considers a 1S opening.
You’d also need to look at each hand and decide how the auction would go were you to overcall, and that’s very difficult to do once one knows the cards: there is a tendency to let one’s prior beliefs influence one’s views.
However, such an approach is infinitely better than sitting down and coming up wupith hands that make one’s preferred bidding work well,
'one of the great markers of the advance of human kindness is the howls you will hear from the Men of God' Johann Hari
Nethken "This went for 800.
Do you think partner should stick his neck out with an SOS xx?"
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Bidding problem reposted to BridgeWinners
https://bridgewinner...m-2-a5xvjhlai6/
MikeH and CyberYeti sussed it out
IMO East shouldn't SOS-redouble with his actual hand. With a ♥ void, he might consider it, especially at pairs.